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Simple Implied Volatility Modeling using Markov Chains

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 Jeremy Memme, Program Management | Telemetry & Analytics | Data Insights | International Strategy

 Monday, October 23, 2017

If you are new to Implied Volatility modeling and are looking for a simple approach you may find this article interesting. In this article Simple Markov Chains are used to generate a probability distribution of an implied volatility index (VIX) and how the probability distribution changes over time. I have attached an spreadsheet as an example that can be used to experiment with the model. It uses real market data to train this simple model and the results do show a great deal of positive skew and reversion to the mean that one would expect when modeling the an implied volatility index such as the VIX.


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1 comments on article "Simple Implied Volatility Modeling using Markov Chains "

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 Alberto Cejudo, H/UHNWI México & Spain BBVA Suiza

 Thursday, October 26, 2017



Thanks for sharing. Simple but useful !

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