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An example of diversification effect on a portfolio of 1hr multi assets Algorithmic Strategies

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 Francesco Landolfi, .

 Sunday, October 1, 2017

Dear all, I thought would have been nice and useful to show some results that I obtained by building a portfolio of strategies on several underlying. On the first chart you can see individual equity lines corresponding to different strategy class (trend following, breakout, mean reverting, candle pattern). In the second chart instead you can see the combined equity line. The idea is to show how powerful is the effect of diversification and how important it is in my opinion to have many imperfect but accetable strategies rather than a few which you might think are "perfect". In this way you achieve 2 results: 1) reductions of drawdown/much better sharpe ratio 2) reduction of overfitting risk. Every constructive criticism will be very much welcome. Enjoy the rest of the weekend PS: the strategies are live since mid July.


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16 comments on article "An example of diversification effect on a portfolio of 1hr multi assets Algorithmic Strategies"

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 Dimitry Murzinov, Quantitative Risk Management

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



If a strategy is an attempt to single out a particular risk factor then a basket of strategies weighed appropriately should give us nothing else but the performance of the underlyer. What is the reason for any improvement in the statistics then?


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 Francesco Landolfi, .

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



Hi Dimitry, I am afraid we start from different assumptions. If I understand correctly, for you there is no alpha, for me there is plenty.


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 Marcello Calamai, Trader, Private Investor, Algo Developer

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



Very interesting, Francesco. I'm experimenting the same kind of combined strategies on Forex market, with the same improvements in sharpe ratio and drawdowns. To obtain the combined equity, I'm trying two different rules: one asks that all the systems agree before doing a trade, the other simply sums the results of the different systems.


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 Diane Tycangco, Top Equity Analyst & Trader

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



Hi! I'm a trader and I am just wondering if both of you have actually traded your algorithms with real money. Are they profitable? In my experience, real life does not replicate

theoretical results.


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 Seine Yumnam, Analyst at Strategic Investment Group

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



are you equal weighting the strategies? I usually equal vol weight them, like a naive risk parity. um do you have a volatility target?


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 Carlos Mata, Petroleum Engineer at North Oil Company Qatar

 Tuesday, October 3, 2017



Awesome stuff. I am doing the same by combining mean reversion, trend following and pairs trading both in stocks and futures. Very simple systems, not great on their own, but robust. But combined have greatly improved sharpe. Got the idea from a book and never looked back since.


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 Dimitry Murzinov, Quantitative Risk Management

 Wednesday, October 4, 2017



To rephrase my question, if you hold a unit of a risky sequrity you employ certain amnt of capital for a period of time. to compare returns with any strategy properly you either align returns and compare the capital at risk or start with equating the capital utilised and compare the returns. The difference will manifest your (possible) pick up in the alpha.


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 Paolo Villani, Training manager at ION Trading

 Wednesday, October 4, 2017



I adopt the same approach (diversification) with the portifolio of strategies I trade: there are several for each traded instrument, and some few traded instruments (hopefully more in future). The benefits in term of performance are evident, even though they tend to saturate quickly, at least in term of benefits for the same instrument (to diversify the traded instruments shold be much more beneficial, I think).

The return on invested capital is a key factor to evaluate the performance of the portfolio, at least to me, together with the volatility of the expected return normalized on a time basis. The challanging things are:

- How to optimize the portofolio (optimal strategies combination). Done by combining the trades of the strategy and analyzing the resulting equity line. The number of combinations "explodes" soon...

- Margin estimate for ROI calculation (I trade futures with daily strategies, that may enter in different days / directions)

And several others...


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 Loh Lacer, FX Trade Support Analyst at Citi

 Wednesday, October 4, 2017



Nice one


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 Francesco Landolfi, .

 Thursday, October 5, 2017



Diane Tycangco yes the strategies are live. In real typically the strategies perform less well than in backtest for obvious reasons but that being said you can create a portfolio of strategies that makes money of course.


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 Francesco Landolfi, .

 Thursday, October 5, 2017



Seine Yumnam, thank for your message. The strategies in the chart are not vol weighted, but I agree with you they should be. Good point.


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 Kent Bjorklund, Chief Strategist at Raymond Research, LLC

 Thursday, October 5, 2017



Well done. I am backtesting portfolio selection and weighting based on market regime. Have you done anything similar with your trading strategy portfolio?


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 Seine Yumnam, Analyst at Strategic Investment Group

 Thursday, October 5, 2017



Francesco Landolfi yes! Simple naive risk parity is powerful and robust. There is one more thing I like to do while looking at strategies and that is to see if the return the portfolio is delivering can be attributed to known risk factors. The easiest return based analysis will be to run OLS regression of your returns to factor returns of momentum, value, growth, size, market, etc. This will give you the alpha as well as the percentage of returns explained by this factors. The reason why we do this is that if 90% of your portfolio is explained by momentum+value, for instance, with very little alpha, you might as well buy 2 etfs that tracks value and momentum. This gives a deeper understanding of what risk premium we are harnessing. Fama french database has all the data you need!


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 Diane Tycangco, Top Equity Analyst & Trader

 Thursday, October 5, 2017



I don't follow any specific strategy just observations of how a stock moves and I make money.


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 Arjun Whabi, Investment Manager at MANS Finance Ltd

 Saturday, October 7, 2017



Francesco Landolfi Asking out of Curiosity .. Do you optimise the strategy per pair or do you run a portfolio optimisation ? Is it a different strategy per pair or the same one on all ?


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 Paulo Campozana, --

 Wednesday, October 11, 2017



Seria interessante colocar o seu sistema sob supervisão na MQ5.com ou Myfxbook para todos ver o seu desempenho.

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