Search
× Search
Monday, December 23, 2024

Archived Discussions

Recent member discussions

The Algorithmic Traders' Association prides itself on providing a forum for the publication and dissemination of its members' white papers, research, reflections, works in progress, and other contributions. Please Note that archive searches and some of our members' publications are reserved for members only, so please log in or sign up to gain the most from our members' contributions.

Macro Thoughts End of half-year review June 30, 2017 - Keith Grindlay

photo

 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of Fixed Income & Forex Derivatives Teams, G10 & EM

 Sunday, July 2, 2017

After a relatively volatile week for markets, it would seem appropriate to consider the past 6 months, review market sentiment changes and assess the next 6 months. www.macrothoughts.co.uk • Current Fed policy influenced by China’s slowdown in 2015 – Yellen sets the tone in July • CB comments need to be taken in context • Commodity prices a warning to all asset classes • US Inflation may already have peaked • Care needed for Bond bears • Consensus positioning continues to be a problem for markets • The ECB isn’t suddenly turning hawkish – Constâncio comments • UK economic deterioration, things can only get better • MT 2017 round up of comments and strategies during the past 6 months At times of financial stress, there is a danger of making key policy errors, but when withdrawing those policy errors, the dangers become even greater. US growth for the past two years has been close to just 1.5%, inflation is potentially heading towards multi-year lows, commodity markets are turning bearish, Chinese and European central banks are expected to withdraw stimulus to their economies, Emerging Markets have $2tn worth of syndicated loans and bond redemptions due over the next 18 months, and the Fed intends to....the risks are about to increase.


Print

Please login or register to post comments.

TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS
Terms Of UsePrivacy StatementCopyright 2018 Algorithmic Traders Association