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If the BOE is wrong and Macro Thoughts is right, the UK consumer will be relieved

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 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of Fixed Income & Forex Derivatives Teams, G10 & EM

 Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Macro Thoughts continues to believe global inflation is peaking, even in the UK, and that both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England may need to change rate policy soon. In this, the first of 2 reports, I consider the UK economy; my second report will look more closely at the US Federal Reserve. · The Bank of England MPC moves closer to raising rates, though the committee turns more dovish · Inflation contributions may be temporary and reflect weak consumer confidence · New MPC member matches the same jelly mould · DFS profits warning, a hint to inflation · MT maintains its economic forecasts, as reported last August · Mansion House breakfast, a sobering thought – steeper curves www.macrothoughts.co.uk


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