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What spooked the Fed?

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 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of F I & Forex Derivatives Trading and Sales Teams, G10 & EM

 Sunday, March 5, 2017

Having failed to raise rates last September, it has been a concern that the Fed misses the best opportunities to make their many planned increases; if they had raised rates last September and then again in January, they might be feeling a little more comfortable. If the Fed fails to increase rates in March, Q1 data and European political upheavals could make any subsequent increases more difficult to justify. Consistently, my expectations for US and global growth for the first half of 2017 have been below consensus and, if correct, that may deter Fed members from raising, which would be a policy error, as I believe they will find it harder later in the year. http://www.macrothoughts.co.uk/what-spooked-the-fed/ http://www.macrothoughts.co.uk/supply-still-no-demand/


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