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Economic risks are potentially greater now than in 2016

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 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of F I & Forex Derivatives Trading and Sales Teams, G10 & EM

 Sunday, February 12, 2017

Central bank kidology, South American scandal, Australian recession, UK data, Yellen surprise for markets, Greece exit, US consumer loses confidence, European politics... This time the shock is the dawning realisation of the impact that many of the new President’s polices will actually have, and that serious political issues in Europe are only just beginning and not every country will survive as members of the Union. Whilst the strong UK economy has chosen to leave, the Union’s weakest economy may be forced to; others could follow and this could trigger a profound recession.


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