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Complacency is dangerous (www.macrothoughts.co.uk)

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 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of F I & Forex Derivatives Trading and Sales Teams, G10 & EM

 Sunday, January 15, 2017

Sat in Davos, you might believe the global economy is in a strong position, but globally, electorates are voting for change, because while they have made sacrifices, they have seen their living standards continue to decline. Record highs for equity markets do not reflect the real economy, and while QE support for equity markets may keep attendees of the WEF happy, as they discuss ‘Responsive and Responsible Leadership’, the World Bank, expects World GDP to be at a recessionary level of 2.7% in 2017. The World Bank’s latest release commented, ‘Stagnant global trade, subdued investment, and heightened policy uncertainty marked another difficult year for the world economy’.


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