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Term structure for Trend Models

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 Jeremie Coffin, Quant Trader

 Monday, November 28, 2016

Term structure for Trend Models


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3 comments on article "Term structure for Trend Models"

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 Darío Corral, Procurement Manager

 Saturday, December 3, 2016



Your post remind me of this one: http://tsi-blog.com/2015/05/the-futures-price-is-not-a-prediction/


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 Dale Rosenthal, Asst Prof of Finance at UIC

 Sunday, December 4, 2016



Shouldn't you also be modeling the movement of spot? If spot is below next futures, then their convergence would imply movement on both sides: spot rising and next futures falling. And then we can argue about cointegration models for which side will converge faster/more.


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 Daniel Ward, Head of CIB US Model Risk Management at BNP Paribas

 Wednesday, December 7, 2016



this a pretty misleading article. all its talking about is doing standard carry positive carry trades and hoping that you're not caught in the resets which wipe everyone out. particularly.... interesting is wanting to change the completely accurately named "expected future spot" to just spot. demonstrated a lack of understanding of the mathematics being graphed (risk neutral pricing).

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