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Mean Reversion Trading System Design

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 private private,

 Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Our previous research that we did on opening range breakout systems already showed us that opening range breakouts define the trend for the rest of the day in about 30% of the time. Which means that out of 20 trading days we have 6 trending days without price reverting back to a mean. On the other hand we have 70% of the moves that will revert back to the mean several times a day. Sounds like something to be exploited... http://miltonfmr.com/mean-reversion-trading-system/


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12 comments on article "Mean Reversion Trading System Design "

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 private private,

 Wednesday, November 16, 2016



mean reversion traders enjoy many small gains and endure a few catastrophic losses. totally opposite for trend traders who are bled to death with multiple small losses and rewarded with sparse large gains.


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 Davin Appanah, Head of Quant Investment Research - BeanTree Capital

 Wednesday, November 16, 2016



Simply, Positive Convexity for Trend Traders.


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 Dimitry Murzinov, Risk Management

 Thursday, November 17, 2016



i ve heard an opinion from old traders that markets in a trend for about 30 pct of time and 70 pct in a sideway correction over a year horizon. the research backs this out tho on a shorter time scale


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 Søren Lanng, Replacing Programming of Algoritmic Trading - Founder at ECO Group

 Friday, November 18, 2016



Breakouts are the most difficult to trade, many prof traders change to trading the retracements instead.


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 Garette Haire, Jesse Livermore Trading; Livermore Trading System

 Friday, November 18, 2016



The old traders are correct! In order to become a "old" trader you must be a successful trader. Learn to simplify your system and you will find that trend.


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 private private,

 Friday, November 18, 2016



Range breakout is not following these days. Earlier we can predict market behaviour even shorter time frame like 3 yrs back on energy market LCO....and mean reverting is very old and basic strategy. keeps on learning new dynamics of market.


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 private private,

 Saturday, November 19, 2016



.....why did you pick that particular date range for the study?


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 private private,

 Saturday, November 19, 2016



It was random.


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 Vincent Lanci, Managing Partner at Echobay Partners, LLC

 Saturday, November 19, 2016



Similar to market profile. That could use a reworking. Nice


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 Jon Grah, Trading Signals Automation Expert AwarenessForex.com

 Sunday, November 20, 2016



Focus more on making markets....then mean reversion won't appear so mysterious.


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 Jonathan Stephens, Managing Partner at Venezuela Opportunity Fund

 Sunday, November 20, 2016



There is a time and a season for everything. Figuring out what season you're in and what strategies work best in the season at hand is the trick. Are we in a neutral sentiment season, an overly bearish sentiment season, or an overly bullish sentiment season? Its figuring this edge that is the key. An example being the past election season.


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 private private,

 Monday, November 21, 2016



I am a trader of different sorts. I know that markets revert to the mean more often than not. I also know that big trends can make big money, something that on a per trade basis reversion to the mean can not achieve. So I trade with the confidence reversion to the mean strategy on every position even in strong trending markets. I do this because I have an edge quantifying tops and bottoms of markets really well. However I am not oblivious to the trend and am sometimes automatically executed into a trend trade as ALL MY STOPS are Stop and Reverse orders. Think about that.

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