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IT’S STILL A BEAR MARKET!

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 Robert H. Anderson, Stock Market Timing Analyst

 Monday, August 22, 2016

Many technical warnings, divergences, and indicators are sounding alarms everywhere. The biggest problem is complacency! There is "no fear" in the stock market and old timers will tell you that is when you need to worry. The VIX indicator is at low point that reminds us of May 2015, when we were in a similar position. Put & call ratios are showing that almost everyone is wildly bullish. Even though the Dow and S&P500 have hit new all time highs, the charts you want to pay attention to are the weekly Nyse Composite and the weekly Russell 2000. They have not broken their old highs and they are both very close to a "Death Cross". That's when the 50 dma crosses over the 200 dma and starts heading down. It's a "very bearish sign" of a major trend change to the downside. In May of 2015 we hit a high on the S&P500 of 2134 and now we have passed that high and recently hit a new high of 2193.81. From May 2015 to August 2015 the stock market went down and ended with the biggest one day drop in history. That's when the Dow dropped over 1,000 points on a Friday morning. My charts are saying that 2193.81 (2194) is our new top for a big Elliott Wave-4 and that we have already started a big Elliott Wave-5 down. My charts also say we could see some more downside pressure tomorrow - Monday 08/22 and Tuesday 08/23. Support levels that you want to watch are 2168, 2159, and 2147. I believe that once we break those 3 support levels, on the S&P500, the bear market will be "confirming" its next big move down. Happy Trading, Robert H. Anderson (thetrendfriend.com)


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6 comments on article "IT'S STILL A BEAR MARKET!"

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 Ron Jaenisch, Author, Andrews and Babson Technical Analysis Expert

 Tuesday, August 23, 2016



yes and price today made a possible dual EP pattern.


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 Rajiv Malhotra, Systems Trader at Trex Stock Trading

 Friday, August 26, 2016



Yes it is still is Bear Markets. And Yes I am still totally stoned after last night's trip...


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 Philip Highton, Self Employed Quantitative Investor

 Sunday, August 28, 2016



Emotionally I share your views but let the data show you the way to ride the wave


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 Stephane Hardy, Computational Finance Quant and Options Trader

 Sunday, August 28, 2016



Bears mostly cause upward movement. Bulls mostly cause downwards movements. Why ? bears have low exposures or valuations, hence can mostly buy, and vice versa for bulls. Here is a basic market question, that most traders know and rely on : since all issued assets are 100% owned and reside in portfolios, what kind of swapping causes higher or lower valuations ?


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 Marjan Stojanovski, Financial Markets Consultant

 Monday, August 29, 2016



This type of article can create an unnecessary confusion and unproductive fierce debate if at its very beginning it doesn't establish the time frame-are you talking short term or long term?


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 Marjan Stojanovski, Financial Markets Consultant

 Monday, August 29, 2016



If you (Robert) were talking long-term, I have to tell you that there isn't any bear market at the moment, quiet the opposite (markets at all-time high). And the current bull market will surprise you with how much higher it will get in the next couple of years.

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