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HAS THE BULL TRAP CLOSED SHUT?

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 Robert H. Anderson, Stock Market Timing Analyst

 Sunday, July 31, 2016

A SIMILAR QUESTION WOULD BE "HAS THE STOCK MARKET FINALLY TOPPED OUT?". I THINK THE NEXT 3-4 MARKET DAYS COULD HELP ANSWER THOSE TWO QUESTIONS. I AM A TECHNICAL ANALYST THAT ALSO USES ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS AND SINCE THE S&P500 HIGH OF 2175 I HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A NEW ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERN AND COUNTS. THAT PATTERN AND COUNTS COULD COME TO A SHORT TERM "REVERSAL" IN THE NEXT 3-4 MARKET DAYS. IF WE GO DOWN STRONG DURING THOSE MARKET DAYS, THEN THAT WILL BE A GOOD SIGN THAT THE BULLS COULD ALREADY BE CAUGHT IN THE TRAP. FOR THAT TO HAPPEN WE NEED TO BREAK S&P500 2159. PRICES HAVE BOUNCED OFF OF THAT SUPPORT LEVEL MANY TIMES IN THE LAST FEW DAYS. WE COULD BREAK THAT LEVEL AS SOON AS TOMORROW (MONDAY - 08/01/16). WE CLOSED AT 2173 LAST FRIDAY AND THE 2159 LEVEL IS ONLY -14 POINTS AWAY. THE NEXT IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVEL IS THE OLD S&P500 HIGH OF 2134 AND THAT IS -39 POINTS AWAY FROM 2173. BREAKING THOSE TWO PRICE LEVELS IS A BIG DEAL AND STARTS TO ADD "CONFIRMATION" TO THE 2175 TOP. ALSO BECAUSE WE HAVE 3-4 DAYS OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERN AND COUNTS TO GET PROCESSED, WE COULD END NEAR THE 2125 LEVEL OR EVEN THE 50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE AT 2108, BEFORE WE GET OUR 1ST COUNTER TREND RALLY. THE LOWER THE BETTER FOR THE BEARS, BECAUSE IT MEANS THAT THE BULLS ARE GOING TO HAVE A HARDER TIME GETTING BACK TO THE 2175 TOP. NOW THE CONCLUSION TO MY ANALYSIS. IF THE BULLS CANNOT GET BACK TO 2175 AFTER THE COUNTS "REVERSE" AND WE HAVE A STRONG COUNTER TREND RALLY, THEN THE "TRAP HAS CLOSED". THAT'S BECAUSE THE NEXT DOWN TREND SHOULD BE EVEN STRONGER DOWN AND WE WILL HAVE MANY MORE SUB WAVES TO GET PROCESSED BEFORE WE GET ANOTHER "REVERSAL" BACK UP. HAPPY TRADING, ROBERT H. ANDERSON


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