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Inflection Point

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 Saturday, February 6, 2016

Those following me know of my outlook for the equity markets which is for lower lows. However a bounce attempt to the upside is setting up during which time, volatility (or beta) increases. Having a handle on pivot points is critical because knowing if the bounce will occur or fail and lead to lower lows is where talent and experience can not be over rated. Except for intraday trading in an attempt to bank small gains while awaiting the resolution of the bounce attempt, either being flat or tolerating the beta are the only other choices. In simplistic terms, you're on a raft where the waters are becoming rougher and there are no two ways about it. It is the experience, talent and preparation that will help determine the outcome and whether navigating through this period is profitable or not. It is exactly why locking up proven talent during these volatile times will either make or break performance. It is why Goldman Sachs, Point72 and many other high profile performance driven shops are on the lookout for either proven talent or are attempting to incubate it from within. Having been through these periods and successfully navigated and profited in both upside and downside high beta moves is why talent able to achieve these results is so expensive, well worth it and so hard to find. Now is the time to lock it up if you are lucky enough to cross paths with it, let alone have the opportunity to lock it up. My recommendation is simple; Many talk the talk but are unable to walk the walk so when you do have the opportunity to lock that proven performance, do so quickly because if you don't, some one will before you can blink an eye. That's what these times are all about. I know what I see, have experienced and am prepared for, are you?


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