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2015 - Crazy suggestion (with some reasoning...)

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 Sharky Seeker, Owner, CEO at ForexGT - Algo-Trading with Science and Logic

 Saturday, January 31, 2015

2015 - Crazy suggestion (with some reasoning...) We constantly see Central Banks intervention in the currency market, for USD (just ended QE), JPY (started QE), RBL (trouble...), China (maybe QE), EUR (started QE), CHF (end of EURCHF support). On top of that - global economy and industrial output is at major slow-down. I can go on and on with AUD, Oil prices, etc. etc... The bottom line is: Maybe it's time to go SHORT on Central-Banks? The way to do it is to BUY Gold... I'm in. Let's see. Happy 2015...and merry pips...


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5 comments on article "2015 - Crazy suggestion (with some reasoning...)"

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 Alex Krishtop, trader, researcher, consultant in forex and futures

 Sunday, February 1, 2015



As long as fed considers gold price too high, there's no chance to successfully go long gold. Another reason not to go long gold is that there's no evidence that it will still be considered as a universal "hedge for all" and not as just yet another commodity (which it is in essence).


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 Sharky Seeker, Owner, CEO at ForexGT - Algo-Trading with Science and Logic

 Sunday, February 1, 2015



Well, my view is slightly different...

Look at the price of gold the day the SNB announced their support of EURCHF and compare it to the day they dropped their support and shook the Forex market.

Also, take a look at China accumulating gold for the past few years.

Also, Petro-Dollar is losing its meaning - Oil is now purchased and sold between nation (Russia, China, Brasil, Gulf countries) without any reference to the mighty U.S. Dollar.

There is some kind of slow "shift" in traditional economy that is happening in front of our eyes.

All this is quite a sign that the USD is losing some ground as a "base" currency. My bet is, for those reasons and others, on Gold for medium and long term.

...But... it remains to be seen...


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 Alex Krishtop, trader, researcher, consultant in forex and futures

 Monday, February 2, 2015



This idea appears here and there once every 20 years and to my taste is simply a reminisce of "good ole times" when gold was used as a real means of exchange. Nevertheless any commodity costs only as much as people believe it should cost; if so much gold is accumulated everywhere, what is the reason for it to cost higher?


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 Nikolay Stoykov, Managing Member at Annapolis Fund

 Wednesday, February 4, 2015



it is always funny, at least to me, how sometimes we rush to judgement on a future price action based on single event reaction and how that somehow "detects" a permanent bias in the markets.. Biases come and go, fundamentals move the price in the long run.

I feel that opportunity is not in the price in either direction - it is in selling volatility in the sector. That makes me feel slightly bullish . One reason is the negative short term rates - that has never happened before, as far as I know. So, the biggest strike against gold, lack of income, is not so big any more and with low cost of storage, unallocated bullions were 4 bps/year seems like a real alternative to holding a negative yielding currency like CHF...


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 Sharky Seeker, Owner, CEO at ForexGT - Algo-Trading with Science and Logic

 Wednesday, February 4, 2015



Well, if you look around, you'll see major Central-Banks "printing" money like there is no tomorrow...(USD, JPY, EUR, ...). That's basicaly constant de-valuation of "paper-cash".

Those measures are intended to "boost" economies, which are still very much "stuck" and doesn't move much.

On top of it - they are saying: "hey, we don't want you to deposit or save your money" with their near 0 or even negative interest rates.

Are you eager to buy EUR after Draghi & ECB announcement?

Are you running to buy JPY now?

Or maybe CHF after SNB lost much credibility?

Gold is still widely accepted as a "tradeable" commodity - so the "wild" or "crazy" idea is to trade AGAINST Central-Banks - and buy Gold.

As I already said: I'm in...

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