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Are we about to experience an epic short squeeze in Gopro (GPRO)?

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 Ulrich Horst Benzing, Freelance Consultant

 Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Gopro, the US based producer of lifestyle plastic cameras, has skyrocketed from 40 to 90 US$ in about 6 weeks. The company has earnings per share that are minimal - looks like a nice short play. But is it? According to my broker, there are practically no stocks to lend for short selling, and the total short interest is a whopping 30% of the outstanding stocks. My guess is that we are going to see even higher prices, followed by a decline once the shorts have been squeezed dry. Lets see. Disclaimer: this is my personal opinion, backed by nothing but my personal ideas and experience. Don't trade on it, contemplate and trade on your own ideas!


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5 comments on article "Are we about to experience an epic short squeeze in Gopro (GPRO)?"

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 Nikolay Stoykov, Managing Member at Annapolis Fund

 Wednesday, October 1, 2014



I feel a bit bored, so I want to ask a very simple question.. Why exactly you guys consider trading GPRO? It seems from the PE, people are not concerned with present earning. Stock is not small but certainly not big cap ( liquidity a problem) and obviously unique, so I doubt any model will have any strong predictive power. It seems like one of those outliers that price distribution can be truly anything.

In terms of short interest, you may want to incorporate borrow costs ( rebates) as a proxy for available shares to be borrowed. good luck.


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 Ulrich Horst Benzing, Freelance Consultant

 Wednesday, October 1, 2014



Hi Nikolay,

because it can be hugely profitable, and as i'm speculating with my own funds, the free float is more than enough for a small fish like me to turn "on the spot"..

i would probably not try these deals if i was employed by a fund.


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 private private,

 Wednesday, October 1, 2014



I do not trade GPRO and I do not trade based on short interest behavior. I am only challenging the practice of promoting a stock based on speculation of a short squeeze in an Automated Trading Strategies group discussion.

Inspired by the thread, I took a look at GPRO price history. In my opinion, there is price behavior that I would feel comfortable relying upon to decide whether or not to take a short position or expect a "short squeeze." Like you, Nikolay, I prefer trading securities with more liquidity.


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 Marty Morua, Technology Advisor for RIA's at Allbackoffice Consulting, LLC

 Wednesday, October 1, 2014



Epic? Maybe if it were 1999 where there was true epic greed but that word "epic" has lost quite a bit of glamour since those years.

Its still too soon since the IPO to give a good technical analysis. The first three Fibonacci retracement support levels come in at right about $78, $70 and $64. No crystal ball theory here, but when a stock is so far extended from its moving averages as this one is, its better to step aside. Patience and waiting for a better buy point closer to support lines is a smarter strategy of managing ones risk.


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 Nikolay Stoykov, Managing Member at Annapolis Fund

 Wednesday, October 1, 2014



@Ulrich, I am not sure how long you have been trading but day dreaming when trading is very dangerous...

In trading you want to fight fights where you have edge, the more edge the better, " Being hugely profitable" implies you have a lot of edge here and that just not the case. Short of inside information, I see tons of problems with price prediction here...

Anyway, I doubt you will listen to me. Either way, bets of luck.

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